Just a few hours remain until the Second Semi-Final of the 69th Eurovision Song Contest, where 16 countries will battle it out for the final 10 spots in Saturday’s Grand Final.
As we inch closer to the climax of this year’s contest, it’s time once again for a fan-favorite segment: a deep dive into the betting odds that reveal how the landscape has changed—especially after the outcomes of Semi-Final 1 and the jury and press rehearsals for tonight’s show.
Sweden Still Leads as the Top 5 Sees Major Movement
As expected, the first semi-final and last night’s rehearsals for tonight’s competing countries have caused a stir in the odds charts. With journalists and fans getting a first proper look at the full stagings, social media has been buzzing—and the odds reflect these shifting perceptions.
At the top, Sweden maintains a strong lead. Following their qualification, Kaj and their song in Basel remain the bookmakers’ favorite to win Eurovision 2025, with odds hovering just under or slightly above 2.00, returning up to 2.2x the stake.
Holding on to second place is Austria, with JJ and “Wasted Love” continuing to be Sweden’s main rival. Their odds range from 3.25 to 4.33.
Making a notable comeback is France, now in third place after a compelling rehearsal by Louane. Her odds have improved dramatically, now returning 12 to 15 times the bet.
Finland has also climbed two positions, though this may be misleading—Israel and the Netherlands, which follow, are actually favored with lower odds. Finland’s odds top out at 26.00, with no major changes noted for Erika Vikman.
Israel dropped to fifth after Yuval Raphael’s rehearsal, which didn’t impress bookies or the public. Their odds now range between 13 and 26.
Netherlands Impresses, Estonia Surprises
It may seem paradoxical, but the Netherlands is currently sixth, despite most betting platforms offering odds of 8 to 10, and a maximum win return of 26. Following a strong semi-final showing, Claude is expected to climb into the top three soon—right behind Sweden and Austria.
One of the biggest gainers? Estonia, whose quirky “Espresso Macchiato” is trending across Europe and could be a dark horse for the televote victory on Saturday. Bookmakers now offer odds from 26 to 34.
Host Country Switzerland Holds Strong – Albania and Italy Return to Top 10
The host nation Switzerland continues its strong showing, sitting in eighth place. With odds ranging from 21 to 41, a top result for a host country may not be out of reach.
Back in the Top 10 are Albania and Italy, both of whom shone in the first semi-final. Skhodra Elektronike’s mystical Balkan electro and Lucio Corsi’s emotional performance have paid off. Albania could return up to 71 times the stake, while Italy is a true outsider with odds reaching 126.
Greece Hopes to Avert a Historic Absence
After the shocking elimination of Cyprus and Theo Evan, all Greek hopes now lie with Klavdia and her song “Asteromata”, performing tonight with the aim of avoiding a Eurovision first—no Greece or Cyprus in the Grand Final for the first time in five decades.
Greece has moved up two spots to 18th in the odds. While victory odds remain relatively stable—between 81 and 301—fans are hopeful that Klavdia’s stellar vocals will win over the European public and change that picture.
Second Semi-Final: A Tight Race for the Final 10 Spots
Tonight’s Second Semi-Final is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent memory, with 14 out of the 16 countries having a real shot at making it to the final.
Three countries are considered locks for qualification:
The next tier includes:
That leaves two hotly contested spots. Currently, Czechia appears to have the edge, though momentum has dipped slightly. Their qualification odds hover just under 1.70.
Next up is Latvia, followed closely by Serbia, both with odds between 1.67 and 2.00. Ireland and Armenia also linger around the 2.00 mark, with Armenia gaining momentum in recent hours.
Denmark has slipped and is now in a risky 14th place, with odds between 2.38 and 2.80.
As for Georgia and Montenegro—they are all but written off, with qualification odds around 9.00 to 10.00.
What’s Next?
As Semi-Final 1 showed us, when logic ends, Eurovision begins—so nothing is truly off the table. All eyes will be on tonight’s results to see how accurate the bookies are this time.
Which countries do you think will make it through to the Grand Final on May 17th?
Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for live updates, exclusive insights, and all the buzz from Eurovision 2025!
