NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Being as the NBA regular season is 82 games long, there aren’t too many games for the casual basketball fan or bettor to get excited about. That said, Wednesday’s Bucks at Clippers matchup, televised by ESPN, is certainly one that was circled when the NBA schedule was released.
Is it fair to call it a “rivalry” between the Greek Freak and Kawhi? After all, Leonard’s 2018-19 season with the Raptors was the only year he has spent in the Eastern Conference. However, this is going to be personal for Giannis after how Kawhi clamped down on the eventual NBA MVP in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals. Milwaukee won the first two games, but then Leonard and the Raptors altered their strategy on Giannis – essentially making Leonard the primary defender and forcing Giannis into traffic — and it worked as the Raptors won the final four.
Quite possible those two superstars duel again this June in the NBA Finals as the Bucks are +150 favourites at Sports Interaction to win the East and the Clippers are +190 favourites to win the West for the first time in franchise history.
The Bucks and Clippers split two regular-season meetings last year, each winning a high-scoring game at home. L.A. has won six of the past 10 in the series and is 5-4-1 ATS in those.
Milwaukee has won three in a row, all by at least 10 points, following a 134-106 blowout in Minnesota on Monday to start a four-game road trip. Antetokounmpo was fabulous as usual with 34 points, 15 rebounds and six assists. The Bucks have played seven games and the Greek Freak has six double-doubles and one triple-double. Eric Bledsoe also has been very good during this winning streak and had 22 points, nine rebounds and six assists in just 24 minutes Monday. Khris Middleton had 26 points. Milwaukee broke open the game with a 38-point third quarter that included a 22-6 run. The Bucks led the NBA in scoring last year and are first again so far at 121.3 ppg. They also lead in rebounding at 51.6 per game.
The Clippers are 2-0 on a five-game homestand – the Raptors visit next Monday – following a 105-94 win over a good Utah team on Sunday. Leonard scored 18 of his 30 points in the fourth quarter when the Clippers outscored the Jazz 40-25. One thing Leonard is doing more of this season is being a facilitator as he’s averaging 5.7 assists. That would be a career high by far. It’s important to note that this is the front end of a back-to-back and Raptors fans remember well that Leonard doesn’t play both ends of a B2B. We would find it hard to imagine he sits this one out in Antetokounmpo’s lone visit of the season. Much more likely that Kawhi sits Thursday vs. Portland. L.A. is 4-0 at home (3-1 ATS).
Who Will Win Bucks vs. Clippers?